Overview: The monthly market structure maintains a bullish stance, holding key supports. On the weekly chart, a valid low was established, accompanied by a strong bearish inducement. While a demand flip occurred, the overall trend remains bearish, marked by a record session count and inside candle price action. The daily time frame reveals a bearish swing structure with impulsive moves, indicating potential further downside.
7 Dimension Analysis
Time Frame: Daily
1⃣ Swing Structure: Bearish
Structure Behavior: ChoCh
Swing Move: Impulsive
Inducement: Suggests potential further downward movement.
Pull Back: No significant pullback observed.
Resistance Zones: Market encounters resistance at every supply zone post- ChoCh, forming a bearish build-up, indicating potential future downside. No traps observed.
2⃣ Pattern
CHART PATTERNS
Continuation
Symmetric Triangle
Shakeout Continuation
CANDLE PATTERNS
Notable Observations:
Momentum candles with Fake out/FOMO.
Tweezer at the internal move top.
Inside candles in the last three days.
3⃣ Volume: Significant volumes observed at the beginning of the move.
4⃣ Momentum RSI:
RSI Below 40: Indicates a super bearish zone with high selling pressure.
Range Shift: Shifted sideways to bearish, suggesting ongoing bearish activity.
Divergence: Hidden bearish divergence present.
5⃣ Volatility Bollinger Bands:
Middle Band Resistance: Strong rejection observed.
Head fake: At the top of the move, indicating a potential deep bearish move.
Entry Time Frame: H1
Entry TF Structure: Bearish
Current Move: Impulsive Bearish
Support Resistance Base: Takes resistance at a significant level.
Candles Behavior: Extremely volatile bearish momentum.
Trend Line Breakout: Confirmed.
Final Comments: Sell at the open.
Decision: Sell
Entry: 75.22
Stop Loss: 78.04
Take Profit: 68.07, 2nd Exit if Internal Structure Changes, 3rd Exit on a trendline breakout or FOMO.
Risk to Reward Ratio: 1:3.5
Expected Duration: 7 days
SUMMARY: The analysis reveals a monthly bullish structure but a weekly bearish inducement. The daily swing structure is bearish with an ongoing impulsive bearish move. Recognized patterns include a symmetric triangle and shakeout continuation. Critical levels, candle patterns, and trendline breakouts were considered for the entry decision. The suggestion is to sell at the open, with detailed entry, stop-loss, and take-profit levels, presenting a risk-to-reward ratio of 1:3.5, and an expected duration of 7 days.
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