Victor Wembanyama and the San Antonio Spurs host a nationally televised matchup on Thursday evening. The Spurs welcome the Milwaukee Bucks to Frost Bank Center for the second and final regular season tilt between the two teams in 2023-24. Milwaukee won the first meeting on Dec. 19, and the Bucks currently occupy the No. 2 seed in the Eastern Conference as they arrive on the second night of a back-to-back set. The Spurs are 5-28 overall and aiming to stop a three-game losing skid.
Tip-off is at 7:30 p.m. ET in San Antonio. For this game, SportsLine consensus lists the Bucks as 9-point favorites, while the over/under, or total number of points Vegas thinks will be scored, is 248 in the latest Bucks vs. Spurs odds. Before you make any Spurs vs. Bucks picks, you need to see the NBA predictions and betting advice from SportsLine’s advanced computer model.
The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned well over $10,000 in profit for $100 players on its top-rated NBA picks over the past five-plus seasons. The model enters Week 11 of the 2023-24 NBA season on a sizzling 106-59 roll on all top-rated NBA picks dating back to last season, returning well over $4,000. Anyone following it has seen huge returns.
Now, the model has set its sights on Bucks vs. Spurs and just locked in its picks and NBA predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see the model’s picks. Here are several NBA odds and betting lines for Spurs vs. Bucks:
Bucks vs. Spurs spread: Bucks -9
Bucks vs. Spurs over/under: 248 points
Bucks vs. Spurs money line: Bucks -439, Spurs +340
MIL: The Bucks are 3-1 against the spread with no rest
SAS: The Spurs are 6-10 against the spread in home games
Bucks vs. Spurs picks: See picks at SportsLine
Why the Bucks can cover
The Bucks won the first matchup in mid-December, soundly outplaying the Spurs in the process. Milwaukee scored 1.2 points per possession on offense, generating 34 assists and committing only seven turnovers. The Bucks also produced 22 fast-break points and 16 second-chance points while playing strong defense. Milwaukee allowed San Antonio to score only 1.08 points per possession, and the Bucks created 11 steals and 16 overall turnovers in the game.
The Bucks are also potent on offense on the whole this season, producing at a top-five level while generating nearly 1.2 points per possession. Milwaukee uses the free throw line effectively, averaging more than 26 attempts per game, and the Bucks rank in the top three of the league in field goal percentage and 2-point percentage. Adrian Griffin’s team is also highly effective from 3-point range, landing in the top eight of the NBA in 3-pointers per game and 3-point percentage. See which team to pick here.
Why the Spurs can cover
The Spurs are led by a dynamic rookie in Victor Wembanyama. The No. 1 overall pick in the 2023 NBA Draft has scored 20 points or more in three consecutive games, and Wembanyama is averaging 18.9 points, 10.2 rebounds, and 3.1 blocked shots per game. That leads the NBA in blocked shots, and Wembanyama also leads the league in defensive rebound percentage (30.1%). Wembanyama has also been flying high across the last 15 games, averaging 19.2 points, 11.2 rebounds, and 3.7 blocked shots.
Wembanyama keys a San Antonio offense which has three players averaging at least 18 points per game. The Spurs are also in the top five of the league with 29.0 assists per game, and San Antonio is in the top 10 with 44.6 fast break points per game. San Antonio is also facing a Milwaukee defense that is not dominant overall. The Bucks are in the bottom five of the league in turnover creation and steals, and Milwaukee is also below-average in defensive rebound rate. See which team to pick here.
How to make Spurs vs. Bucks picks
SportsLine’s model is leaning Under on the point total, projecting 246 combined points. The model also says one side of the spread hits in almost 60% of simulations. You can only see the model’s pick at SportsLine.
So who wins Bucks vs. Spurs, and which side of the spread hits in nearly 60% of simulations? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the spread you need to jump on, all from the model on a 106-59 roll on top-rated NBA picks, and find out.
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