UAE looks to burnish its climate credentials with $30 billion pledge

The plan was announced Friday at opening proceedings of the annual U.N. Climate Change Conference, which the UAE is hosting this year in Dubai. It was unveiled as the petrostate tries to burnish its credentials as a leader in the clean energy transition, even as it continues the oil investments that have brought Emiratis tremendous wealth. The money to fund the projects will come largely from oil revenue.

The newly established fund was “specifically designed to bridge the climate finance gap” and hopes to stimulate further investment of $250 billion by 2030, UAE President Mohamed bin Zayed al-Nahyan told leaders gathered at the talks known as COP28.

“The lack of readily available and affordable climate finance has long been one of the biggest obstacles in advancing climate action globally,” Mohamed said, speaking through an interpreter.

Some $5 billion of the investment is earmarked for developing nations that lack the capital to cut electricity emissions and update their energy systems.

While the overall dollar amount is considerable, experts caution its ultimate impact on curbing warming and bringing new energy resources to the Global South will hinge on how the UAE structures the spending.

Investors have passed on a number of projects in developing countries because they are considered too financially risky. It is unclear if the UAE is willing to use this spending to absorb some of that risk, which could act as a catalyst to attract many billions of dollars more in private and government climate investment to regions in need.

“Given the source of these funds, it is essential that these investments help accelerate the transition to renewable power, especially in low-income countries,” said Rajiv Shah, president of the Rockefeller Foundation and U.S. Agency for International Development administrator under President Barack Obama.

Energy consumption in such countries is projected to soar in the coming decades, as their economies develop. Without access to financing and technological innovation, Shah said, the countries will be forced to fall back on traditional, dirty power sources, such as burning coal and generating electricity with diesel fuel.

Failure to step up the energy transition in what the foundation calls “energy poor” nations, Shah said, would ultimately have dire consequences, pushing the planet toward catastrophic levels of warming. Rockefeller is among a group of foundations that has been working in recent years to get large clean energy projects off the ground in the Global South, typically by providing early financing that absorbs some of the risk and draws other investment.

The foundation is looking at possibilities for co-investing with the new UAE fund to help steer money to impactful projects in places most in need.

The new initiative puts a spotlight on the UAE’s evolving role in the fight against climate change. The country is at once one of the world’s biggest contributors to warming, pumping massive amounts of oil into the global economy, while also using its fossil fuel wealth to put itself on the vanguard of energy innovation, bankrolling some of the most ambitious clean tech projects.

The Emirati presiding over the climate conference, Sultan Al Jaber, who is also the head of the Abu Dhabi National Oil Company, will chair the new fund. He is accused of using the conference to broker fossil fuel deals for his country — a charge he denies. At the same time, Al Jaber has won recognition for making big bets on the energy transition and prodding other petrostates to follow suit.

On the first day of COP28, he also got the summit off to a quick start, with nations approving the mechanics of a fund that seeks to help vulnerable nations hit by climate emergencies.

The Post Reports: The oil executive leading this year’s climate summit

“This country is trying to figure out its role in a changing planet,” said David Victor, co-director of the Deep Decarbonization Initiative at the University of San Diego. “It doesn’t yet know what its future looks like in a low emissions world. The country is still experimenting, and I don’t think it knows which of these experiments will work.”

Regardless of the path the UAE ultimately charts in the long term, Victor said, it is critical for the country’s ambitions that the conference in Dubai be seen as a success. The $30 billion pledge, while still representing only a fraction of the finance needed to bring countries in line with emissions reduction goals forged through the Paris agreement on climate change, could help move the needle on fighting climate change, advancing projects that otherwise are not viable.

“This lines up with things the Emirates was already doing and it reduces the risk that the conference will be perceived as a failure,” Victor said.

The new fund, called Alterra, will enlist asset managers BlackRock, Brookfield and TPG “to steer private markets towards climate investments and focus on transforming emerging markets and developing economies, where traditional investment has been lacking,” according to a statement. It immediately becomes one of the world’s largest climate-focused investment funds. Its board will be chaired by Al Jaber.

The fund was created by Lunate, an alternative investment management firm recently set up by the UAE.

“This is a big deal,” said Mona Dajan, global head of renewables, energy and infrastructure at the law firm Shearman and Sterling. “We have seen other programs previously, but not at this level. They were too scattered, too small, not aligned to the broader financial sector. The idea would be to try to smooth out some of the tension and help the world’s poorest countries, which my find themselves unable to compete for financing of their own projects.”

The lack of cash feeds into other challenges that can make it impossible to scale up clean energy in some countries. Without a steady pipeline of projects, there are no established supply chains, and nations find themselves locked out of markets for key components that are in high demand elsewhere, such as solar cells and critical minerals used to make giant batteries that store renewable power.

The Global South will need an immense amount of such battery storage by the end of the decade, according to the Rockefeller Foundation, enough to store about as much power as is produced by 90 large nuclear plants. The storage is used to bottle wind and solar power and distribute it back into grids after dark and when the wind dies down. Several groups are working on an effort to bring the batteries to places that are currently struggling to access them.

The shortfall of funding for renewables is largest in poorer nations struggling to expand power supply without relying on fossil fuels. Developing countries in 2022 received under a third of the $1.7 trillion in investment needed every year to transition to clean energy sources, according to the United Nations.

Bridging that gap is going to depend on finding ways to make investors comfortable backing projects in the countries that need the funding the most.

That is why the portion dedicated to the Global South may be more significant than that rest of the funding, because it will focused on securing loans at favorable rates for those countries, said Rishikesh Ram Bhandary, an expert on climate finance at Boston University’s Global Development Policy Center.

“It’s great that they are trying to mobilize institutional investors, but in terms of affordability and access, that’s really going to have to come through the $5 billion,” he said.

Halper reported from Washington.