One of baseball’s best prospects expected to miss over a month with quad strain

Tampa Bay Rays prospect Junior Caminero has been placed on the minor league injured list due to a quad strain. Tampa Bay manager Kevin Cash says it’s a Grade 2 strain and that the infielder is likely to miss 4-to-6 weeks. Marc Topkin of the Tampa Bay Times relayed the information on X.

Coming into the season, it was easy to imagine Caminero playing a significant role for the Rays. He has been launching himself up prospect lists in recent years and even reached the majors last season. He didn’t hit much in his first 36 major league plate appearances last year but he was barely 20 years old when called up late in the season.

The fact that he was even up in the majors at such a young age speaks to his talent and his performance. He hit .324/.384/.591 in the minors last year between High-A and Double-A, leading to a combined 156 wRC+ and a leap over the Triple-A level.

As 2024 kicked off, he was considered a consensus top five prospect in the sport. Baseball America had him at No. 2, ESPN at No. 3 FanGraphs and MLB Pipeline at No. 4, with Keith Law of The Athletic putting him in the No. 5 spot.

Unfortunately, injuries have made 2024 a mostly lost season for Caminero so far. The Rays planned for him to start the year in the minors, optioning him fairly early in spring training, the second week of March. He landed on the minor league injured list in early April due to a quad strain and is now back in the same position yet again.

Around his injured-list stints, he has appeared in 34 Triple-A games and stepped to the plate 153 times. His .261/.333/.478 batting line translates to a 106 wRC+, indicating he’s been above average but not outrageously so. Perhaps that’s due to the injury interruptions with better results to be expected with a longer stretch of health.

That will now have to wait, likely into July, considering the time frame provided by Cash. For the team, that will leave them with less infield depth for the next few weeks. Caminero has played all four infield spots in his minor league career but has mostly been at Triple-A this season, perhaps suggesting that’s where the Rays view his future home. Isaac Paredes is currently the regular at the hot corner and playing well, though he is capable of moving elsewhere at some point down the line if Caminero forces his way into the big leagues.

Brandon Lowe and Yandy Diaz are getting most of the playing time at second and first base, respectively, but each is set to make an eight-figure salary in the next two seasons. Given the Rays’ penchant for trading players when they reach that position, it wouldn’t be a surprise to see a scenario wherein Caminero comes up and takes over third base, moving Paredes to the other side of the diamond and thus bumping another player into the designated hitter slot and later onto the trading block.

All of that will remain theoretical for now, particularly with Caminero on the shelf. For the player, it’s undoubtedly a frustrating situation, as he’s missing plenty of time in a key development season. Since this is all happening in the minor leagues, it’s also preventing him from moving his service clock forward. Caminero was able to get ten service days during his brief debut last year. His early-season injury already prevented him from getting to the one-year mark here in 2024, meaning he can’t reach free agency until after 2030 at the earliest. A call-up in the first half could have put him on track for Super Two status after 2026, but that’s likely out the window now with this further injury.