Sun. Apr 20th, 2025

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Nirmal Bang Report

Bandhan Bank Ltd.’s Q1 FY25 net interest income/pre-provision operating profit/profit after tax were at a variation of 4.6%/8%/31.9% versus our estimates. The results were much better than our expectations due to lower-than-estimated provisions. Loans and advances grew by 21.8% YoY on the back of growth across all verticals.

Deposits grew by 22.8% YoY, which was higher than advances growth, supported by 24.9% YoY growth in Retail TD. Sequentially, CASA growth was impacted by reduction from short term CA balance in the previous quarter.

Gross non-performing asset/net non-performing asset stood at 4.2% / 1.1% versus 3.8% / 1.1% in Q4 FY24.

We have estimated earnings CAGR of 49.8% over FY24-FY26E on the back of 18.3% CAGR in the loan book and lower credit cost. We have valued Bandhan Bank at 1.2 times its June 2026E ABV (same as earlier, a 57.4% discount to five-year average price/adjusted book value) and we have derived a target price of Rs 217 (versus Rs 212 earlier).

In our view, the stock will see an overhang in the near to medium term due to the following reasons:

End result of the detailed audit on the directions of NCGTC,

How the succession at the top management level takes shape,

Frequent IBPC transactions in the Housing portfolio can be a concern in the long term with respect to the quality of the book being originated and

Higher C/D ratio at 94.3% can constrain growth, but the same can be managed by tapping the refinancing route.

Maintain Accumulate.

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